Superforecasting

Name: Superforecasting
Author: Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner

Tetlock and Gardner follow forecasters who update often, think in odds, and beat confident experts by being a little less certain.

Book note Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner 2015 Clear Thinking

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Shane Parrish

Of every book on our map, this one sits closest to Superforecasting in what it is about and how it reads.

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Julia Galef

Of every book on our map, this one sits closest to Superforecasting in what it is about and how it reads.

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Sits on the same shelf as Superforecasting, so compare the approach, tone, and commitment.

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Sits on the same shelf as Superforecasting, so compare the approach, tone, and commitment.