Clear Thinking

Clear thinking is less about memorizing bias names than improving the procedure around forecasts, evidence, disagreement, and uncertainty.

Choose the thinking tool you will actually use

Fifteen badly packaged nonfiction books, with the durable idea inside each one, the problem it can help with, and the caveat the title leaves out.

Four books for seeing your own bias, changing your mind more honestly, and making uncertainty easier to handle.

5 additional books, excluding the starting points above. Being close on the map is a lead worth checking, not an endorsement.

Marcus Aurelius

Yuval Noah Harari

Shane Parrish

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Charlie Munger